January 2006 Arizona

Your Newsletter from Rose Realty
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January 2006
The Rose Report,
"Real talk about Real Property"
In this issue
 


IF YOU OR ANYONE YOU KNOW WANTS TO BUY, SELL, OR INVEST IN A HOME, PLEASE DO NOT HESITATE TO CALL ME 7 DAYS A WEEK - DAY OR NIGHT!

Sincerely,
Kenneth Rose, Broker
Rose Realty

P: (480) 314-1500
F: (480) 657-6655

If your house is already listed with a RealtorŪ, please disregard this offer.



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Greetings!

Greetings to all,

This New Year has been flying by and with this New Year comes new listings, EVERYWHERE. A 300% increase in inventory compared to last March is keeping Sellers honest and Buyers alive and on the hunt. No more bidding wars, prices are leveling, and no more paying top dollar for a home in disrepair. Good value still remains however, compared to most major markets in the US. Location is, and always will be king, even if there is a back log of new homes for sale as many 1st-time Buyers are hoping for the best as they wait in line for builders to deliver. Even if the appreciation rate drops considerably, big gains still remain for those who can upgrade well-located homes with efficiency and style. Interest rates, though slightly on the rise, still remain historically low especially for investors. A high credit score can not only put an owner occupant into no money down territory, but investors with middle scores of 660-700 and up can waltz into investments like never before. An experienced Buyer's agent can safely guide you through pork and false promises. Because household incomes are not keeping up with the drastic rates of housing costs, you may want to consider taking some of your primary home nest egg and buying a more affordable rental property. Tax breaks and equity buildup over 2-5 years is a very attractive and safe opportunity compared to other risky financial strategies. If you have owned your home for over 2 years, now would be a good time to take advantage of the sluggish sales market and move-up while cashing out your tax-free gains. Start a business, buy an investment property or two, take that trip, but keep doing what it is that got you there in the first place. No time to get complacent as big-city snow birds and California dreamers flock here to take advantage of what still are very reasonable prices.

Until next time,
Ken Rose, Broker
"A guy who still believes in making house calls"


Things you should know before filing taxes...

Uh-oh, tax time is here again - but this year, there is a little more hope for filers: April 15th falls on a Saturday, requiring that all income tax returns must be postmarked by midnight, Monday, April 17th. Also, this year the IRS IS GIVING TAXPAYERS A NEW BREAK, allowing an option for a SIX-MONTH AUTOMATIC EXTENSION (this does NOT extend the tax-payment deadline) by filing application form #4868:

The new regulations provide streamlined and simplified procedures that are expected to save taxpayers between $73 million and $94 million, annually, by eliminating or consolidating several existing IRS forms. As a result, beginning Jan 1, 2006, most individuals and businesses will be able to request a full six-month tax-filing extension, WITHOUT A REASON OR EVEN A SIGNATURE.

Major itemized tax deductions for homeowners:

· MORTGAGE INTEREST - Interest on mortgage loans on a first or second home is FULLY deductible. LIMITATIONS: Acquisition loans up to $1 million and home equity loans up to $100,000. Keep in mind that if you are married, but file separately, the limits are split in half. Also, there are no tax restrictions on the use of money obtained from a home equity loan - you no longer have to justify your loan as meeting certain educational or medical requirements.
· TAXES - Property taxes (state AND local) can be deducted. Real Estate taxes are deductible only in the year they are actually paid to the government. Make sure you REVIEW YOUR SETTLEMENT SHEET CAREFULLY to see if you may have reimbursed your seller for a portion of the prepaid taxes through the end of 2005. Lenders are required to send your annual statements to borrowers by the end of Jan of each year, reflecting interest and taxes paid for the previous years.

· POINTS - When you obtain a mortgage loan, you often have to pay one or more points to get that loan. Whether referred to as "loan origination fees," "premium charges," or "discounts," they are still points. Each point is 1% of the amount borrowed. So if you obtain a loan of $250,000, each point will cost you $2,500. Points are deductible, but there are some complications so you should consult a CPA.


Land Value in Your Area

There seems to be a HUGE DISCREPANCY regarding opinions ON LAND VALUE between the city of Scottsdale and the Pennsylvania-based luxury home builder, Toll Brothers. This lack of agreement looks like it may result in the LARGEST CONDEMNATION VERDICT IN AZ HISTORY! A difference of $224,000 per acre is the issue with the city claiming an acre in Scottsdale just north of McDowell Mountain Ranch is worth about $86,000 and Toll Brothers, $310,000. Unless a settlement can be reached, a Maricopa County Superior Court jury will decide on the lands value. Though Toll Brothers bought part of the 780- acre tract from the AZ State Land Dept in 2002 for only $85,000 per acre, the city had paid nearly $600,000 per acre this past September for nearby state land.


AZ Home Investment Trends

INVESTORS are again deciding the future of metropolitan Phoenix's HOUSING MARKET. Prices in 2005 have RISEN at least 25% with their PURCHASING SPREES with a high of $263,000 for the peak median price of an existing home in September. This has become the major ECONOMIC INDICATOR in the Valley, above population and job growth! Even Job growth is extremely strong in Scottsdale - we've seen the LARGEST job growth rate since 1999 last year with a gain of 97,700 non-farm jobs and a 4.1% increase over 2004. Last year, investors accounted for at least 25% of all Valley home buyers last year, compared with the national average of 23%. Something to watch for would be the RESELLING of these INVESTED PROPERTIES and the effect it has on all Valley home prices as the investing spree calms. In fact, it looks as if investors have already cashed out of metro Phoenix's housing market. The percentage of new homes selling to investors DROPPED from a high of 11% last January to 5% at the end of 2005. About 18% of all used homes were selling to investors in December (a drop from 20% in September). Another notable comparison is the additional 10 days it takes to sell a house from a year ago.


Affordable homes vs. Easy Commute

It seems like with AFFORDABLE HOMES, comes A TERRIBLE COMMUTE. There has been an ongoing issue along 3 MAIN ROUTES linking Pinal County's homes to Maricpoa County's jobs. With 3-mile long backups and bumper-to-bumper traffic every morning, the commute averages around 3 hours. Business and residential growth are to blame - just six years ago, there were only 2,400 vehicles a day go into Queen Creek and then north to the Superstition Freeway. Today, the intersection is seeing about 21,000. The reason this is such a mess is because the OVERLAPPING JURISDICTIONS in Maricopa and Pinal counties have failed to communicate, cooperate, or coordinate efforts to better the condition. It will only get worse as huge PLANNED SUBDIVISIONS like Anthem in Florence keep testing Pinal County's population. There is also a large issue concerning other businesses that travel, like school buses and emergency response teams. PROPOSALS? Widening Ironwood Dr./Gantzel Road between the Freeway and Hunt Highway; adding an additional, though winding, way in and out of the Santan area; and redesigning and adding a traffic light to the intersection of Ellsworth and Hunt.


The Condo Market Is Booming!

Soaring home prices have spawned a wave of condo CONVERSIONS that have forced tens of thousands of apartment dwellers to search for new homes. Nearly 7,000 apartments from Ahwatukee to north Scottsdale were in the process of conversion, and the trend is definitely continuing. Investors are ACKNOWLEDGING THE DEMAND and paying MILLIONS for condo- conversion properties. It is predicted that about 20,000 apartments will be converted to condos before the trend slows in a few years.


Recipe - Chicken Pot Pie that won't give you a Pot Belly

INGREDIENTS:

· pie crust for 2 crust pie
· 3 Tbsp. unsalted butter
· 3 Tbsp. flour
· 1/4 tsp. pepper
· 1/2 tsp. dried thyme leaves
· 1/2 cup chicken broth
· 1/2 cup skim milk
· 1 cup shredded Colby cheese
· 1/4 cup grated Parmesan cheese
· 2 cups chopped skinless cooked turkey or chicken
· 9 oz. pkg. frozen broccoli florets, thawed and drained

PREPARATION:

Preheat oven to 425 degrees F. Line 9" pie pan with one of the pie crusts and set aside.

Melt butter in medium saucepan and add flour and pepper. Cook until this roux is bubbly, stirring constantly.

Add broth and milk, stirring constantly until mixture boils and thickens. Add cheese and stir until combined. Add chicken and broccoli. Pour into bottom crust. Top with second crust, cutting slits in top crust for steam to escape.

Bake at 425 degrees F for 30-35 minutes until crust is golden brown and filling bubbles. Let stand 10 minutes before serving. Makes 6 servings.


Sources: "Land value gap wide for gateway". Peter Corbett. The Arizona Republic. Jan 23, 2006. "As speculators go, so goes housing market". Catherine Reagor. The Arizona Republic. Jan 21, 2006. "Job growth shows economy strong". Elias C. Arnold. The Arizona Republic. Jan 23, 2006. "Historic zoning hard sell in PV". Diana Balazs. The Arizona Republic. Jan 17, 2006. "Condo conversions booming". Peter Corbett and Betty Beard. The Arizona Republic. January 20, 2006. "Affordable homes, horrible commute". Carl Holcombe. The Arizona Republic. January 22, 2006.


phone: (480) 314-1500

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Kenneth Rose | 12920 North 92nd Place | Scottsdale | AR | 85260